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Title: Seismic Hazard Assessment: Conditional Probability PDF
Url: http://www.geology.siu.edu/people/pinter/pdf/CondProb.pdf
Creator: Pinter, Nicholas
Publisher: Southern Illinois University at Carbondale. Dept. of Geology
Description: In this exercise, students investigate the use of conditional probability (the likelihood that a given event will occur within a specified time period) in assessing earthquake hazards. Introductory materials explain that conditional probability is based on the past history of earthquakes in a region and on how and when earthquakes recur; and discuss the different types of models that can be developed to predict recurrences. Using a table of probability values, students will calculate probabilities for earthquakes along the San Andreas and Wasatch Fault zones, and calculate probabilities that they will exceed a given acceleration (ground shaking) value. Example problems and a bibliography are provided.
LC Classification: Science -- Geology -- Dynamic and structural geology -- Volcanoes and earthquakes -- Earthquakes. Seismology
Science -- Geology -- Dynamic and structural geology -- Volcanoes and earthquakes -- Earthquakes. Seismology -- Earthquake prediction
Science -- Geology -- Dynamic and structural geology -- Volcanoes and earthquakes -- Earthquakes. Seismology -- Seismic waves. Elastic waves
Science -- Geology -- Dynamic and structural geology -- Volcanoes and earthquakes -- Earthquakes. Seismology -- Special topics, A-Z -- Safety measures. Hazard analysis
Science -- Geology -- Dynamic and structural geology -- Volcanoes and earthquakes -- Earthquakes. Seismology -- Special topics, A-Z -- Seismic event location
GEM Subject: Science -- Technology
Science -- Earth science
Science -- Instructional issues
Science -- Geology
Social studies -- Geography
Key Concept: Geology -- Earthquakes
Geography -- Earthquakes
Key Concepts Complete: Yes
Resource Type: Instructional Materials
Lesson Plans
Reading Materials
Science Materials
Teaching Guides
Worksheets
Format: pdf
Audience: College/University Instructors
Higher Education
Professional Formation
Secondary Education
Teachers
University First Cycle
University Postgrad
University Second Cycle
Language: English
Access Rights: Free access
Subject: earth science
Geology
Mathematics
Physical sciences
science
Date Of Record Release: 2012-08-14 11:31:23 (W3C-DTF)
Date Last Modified: 2010-09-30 10:08:46 (W3C-DTF)
Source: DLESE  DLESE
Full Record Views: 34
Resource URL Clicks: 1
Cumulative Rating: NOT YET RATED
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